Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.
-0.4) 
0.26) 
