SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Tigre |
47.03% ( 1.54) | 28.06% ( 0.69) | 24.91% ( -2.22) |
| Both teams to score 43.24% ( -3.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.19% ( -3.55) | 61.81% ( 3.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.4% ( -2.7) | 81.6% ( 2.7) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( -0.86) | 26.42% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( -1.16) | 61.58% ( 1.16) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.77% ( -3.94) | 41.22% ( 3.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.24% ( -3.69) | 77.75% ( 3.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 14.49% ( 1.5) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.78)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.28)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.89% Total : 47.02% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.89% ( 1.36)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.53)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.64)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.3)Other @ 1.23% Total : 24.91% |
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