SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.47%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
43.47% ( 1.13) | 29.45% ( 0.03) | 27.08% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 41.31% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.53) | 65.01% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.09% ( -0.38) | 83.9% ( 0.37) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0.37) | 29.84% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( 0.44) | 65.92% ( -0.44) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.87% ( -1.3) | 41.12% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.33% ( -1.17) | 77.66% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 14.83% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.35)2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.36% Total : 43.46% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.44% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.25% Total : 27.07% |
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