SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 43.06%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.2%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Independiente |
43.06% ( -0.3) | 30.74% ( 0.13) | 26.2% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 37.86% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.03% ( -0.29) | 68.97% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.43% ( -0.19) | 86.57% ( 0.19) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( -0.32) | 32.11% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% ( -0.37) | 68.59% ( 0.37) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.77% ( -0.02) | 44.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.69% ( -0.02) | 80.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 16.13% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.05% | 0-0 @ 14.2% ( 0.15) 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 30.74% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 26.19% |
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