SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Gimnasia |
51.99% ( -0.24) | 27.17% ( 0.07) | 20.84% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 41.43% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.03% ( -0.05) | 61.97% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.29% ( -0.04) | 81.71% ( 0.04) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.13) | 24.14% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( -0.19) | 58.44% ( 0.19) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.61% ( 0.16) | 45.39% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.76% ( 0.13) | 81.24% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 15.57% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.84% |
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