Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 75.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 8.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 3-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
