SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 77.93%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 7.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 3-0 (11.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Gimnasia |
77.93% ( 0.57) | 14.89% ( -0.32) | 7.18% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 40.76% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.07% ( 0.6) | 41.93% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% ( 0.6) | 64.33% ( -0.6) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( 0.28) | 8.85% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.69% ( 0.68) | 30.31% ( -0.68) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.72% ( -0.23) | 55.28% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.95% ( -0.14) | 88.05% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 2-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 77.92% | 1-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.44% Total : 14.89% | 0-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.19% Total : 7.18% |
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