SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Huracan |
39.06% ( 0.19) | 29.47% ( -0.01) | 31.46% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 43.08% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.24% ( 0.01) | 63.76% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.99% ( 0) | 83.01% ( -0) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( 0.12) | 31.75% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( 0.13) | 68.18% ( -0.13) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% ( -0.13) | 36.88% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% ( -0.13) | 73.66% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.06% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.47% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 31.46% |
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