SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 28.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Independiente.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Huracan |
41.79% ( 0.04) | 29.74% ( 0.03) | 28.48% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 41.34% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.65% ( -0.11) | 65.35% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.87% ( -0.08) | 84.13% ( 0.08) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( -0.04) | 30.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( -0.05) | 67.26% ( 0.05) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% ( -0.12) | 40.12% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.24% ( -0.11) | 76.76% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.73% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 28.48% |
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