SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (12.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
38.25% ( 0.16) | 30.84% ( 0.06) | 30.91% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 39.54% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.06% ( -0.21) | 67.95% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.11% ( -0.14) | 85.9% ( 0.14) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( -0.01) | 34.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% ( -0.01) | 71.19% ( 0.02) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% ( -0.29) | 39.66% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% ( -0.27) | 76.34% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.25% | 0-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.83% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.44% Total : 30.9% |
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