SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
46.77% ( -0.02) | 27.41% ( -0.05) | 25.82% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.89% ( 0.24) | 59.1% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.45% ( 0.18) | 79.55% ( -0.18) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% ( 0.1) | 25.31% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.92% ( 0.14) | 60.08% ( -0.14) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.12% ( 0.19) | 38.87% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.39% ( 0.18) | 75.6% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.51% Total : 25.82% |
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