Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17

Sep 5, 2022 at 11pm UK

Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 0
San Lorenzo

Gutierrez (31'), Frias (34'), Lopez (68'), Fernandez (86')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	San Lorenzo
42.03% ( 1.52)	28.67% ( -0.38)	29.29% ( -1.15)

Both teams to score 44.39% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.23% (

0.89)

61.76% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.43% (

0.65)

81.56% (

-0.66)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

1.3)

29.03% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.06% (

1.59)

64.94% (

-1.59)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55% (

-0.41)

37.45% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77% (

-0.4)

74.23% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 42.02%

San Lorenzo 29.29%

Draw 28.67%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.02%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.67%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 29.29%