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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Racing Club |
31.12% ( 0.88) | 27.68% ( -0.34) | 41.19% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% ( 1.46) | 57.77% ( -1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% ( 1.14) | 78.51% ( -1.15) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 1.43) | 33.91% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( 1.52) | 70.58% ( -1.52) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( 0.39) | 27.58% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( 0.5) | 63.1% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.12% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.54)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.18% |
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