SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 76.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 8.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.21%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
76.66% ( 0.1) | 14.7% ( -0.04) | 8.63% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.02) | 35.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.64% ( -0.02) | 57.36% ( 0.03) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.41% ( 0.02) | 7.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.83% ( 0.04) | 27.17% ( -0.04) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.88% ( -0.14) | 47.12% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.43% ( -0.11) | 82.57% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 2-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.96% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 76.65% | 1-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 14.7% | 0-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 8.63% |
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