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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
3 - 1
River Plate

Internacional win 9-8 on penalties
Mercado (70'), Patrick (78')
Aranguiz (58'), Vitao (63'), Wanderson (65'), Patrick (81'), Rochet (86')
FT
(aet)
Rojas (90')
Armani (53'), Solari (58'), Gonzalez Pirez (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Internacional 1-1 River Plate (River Plate win 3-2 on aggregate)

The River Plate backline have left a lot to be desired at the Libertadores this year, but they seem to be able to put it all together in these knockout stage affairs, and we believe their dynamic attack and experience in these big games will carry them into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%).

Result
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
37.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.75% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 37.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.12% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)49.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)71.13% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.7% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)60.62% (0.012 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)25.82% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.055 -0.05)60.78% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 37.23%
    River Plate 37.02%
    Draw 25.74%
InternacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Internacional 2-2 Corinthians
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Internacional
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Cuiaba
Saturday, July 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Internacional
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Internacional
Sunday, July 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Internacional
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Racing
Saturday, July 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 3-3 River Plate
Monday, July 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 3-3 River Plate
Monday, July 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, July 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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