SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 13.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Instituto |
65.76% ( -0.15) | 21.04% ( 0.13) | 13.19% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.57% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -0.45) | 51.12% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.4) | 72.98% ( 0.39) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( -0.19) | 14.76% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.99% ( -0.37) | 43.01% ( 0.37) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.24) | 48.88% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.13% ( -0.18) | 83.87% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 65.75% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 13.19% |
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