SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
54.74% ( -0.28) | 24.05% ( 0.16) | 21.21% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.28% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.5) | 50.55% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( -0.45) | 72.47% ( 0.45) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.29) | 18.36% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.52% ( -0.5) | 49.47% ( 0.49) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.17) | 38.41% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( -0.16) | 75.16% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.73% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.21% |
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