SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | San Lorenzo |
50.78% ( 0.08) | 26.37% ( -0.03) | 22.85% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.38% ( 0.06) | 57.62% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.61% ( 0.05) | 78.38% ( -0.05) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( 0.06) | 22.79% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( 0.09) | 56.5% ( -0.09) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.21% ( -0.02) | 40.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.63% ( -0.02) | 77.37% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 50.77% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.22% 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.85% |
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