SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | San Lorenzo |
49.7% ( 0.29) | 26.43% ( -0.07) | 23.87% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.98% ( 0.1) | 57.02% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.09% ( 0.08) | 77.91% ( -0.07) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( 0.17) | 23.02% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( 0.25) | 56.84% ( -0.25) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( -0.14) | 39.48% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( -0.14) | 76.17% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.69% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.42% Total : 23.87% |
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