San Lorenzo
3 - 4
Defensa

Martegani (55'), Zapata (59'), Soto (90+2' og.)
Silva (68'), Bareiro (79'), Centurion (81'), Cerutti (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bou (8'), Merentiel (28'), Rotondi (48'), Pizzini (80')
Soto (21'), Gutierrez (58')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
43.32%	26.34%	30.33%

Both teams to score 51.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.07%

52.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47%

74.53%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75%

24.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39%

58.61%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03%

31.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57%

68.42%

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 43.32%

Defensa y Justicia 30.33%

Draw 26.34%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.32%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.33%