Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
Sarmiento | Draw | River Plate |
16.33% (![]() | 21.04% (![]() | 62.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.95% (![]() | 45.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.6% (![]() | 67.4% (![]() |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.29% (![]() | 40.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.71% (![]() | 77.29% (![]() |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% (![]() | 13.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.9% (![]() | 41.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sarmiento | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 5.04% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 1.85% Total : 16.33% | 1-1 @ 9.99% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 11.11% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.01% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 62.61% |
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