SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Sarmiento |
51.64% ( 0.12) | 26.6% ( 0.02) | 21.76% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 43.9% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.67% ( -0.19) | 59.34% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.27% ( -0.15) | 79.73% ( 0.15) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.03) | 23.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% ( -0.04) | 57.02% ( 0.05) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.12% ( -0.25) | 42.88% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.81% ( -0.21) | 79.19% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 51.63% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.04% Total : 21.76% |
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