SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.73%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Sarmiento |
49.83% ( 0.22) | 29.91% ( 0.58) | 20.26% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 34.9% ( -1.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.03% ( -2.03) | 69.96% ( 2.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.79% ( -1.32) | 87.21% ( 1.32) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( -0.9) | 28.95% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% ( -1.13) | 64.84% ( 1.13) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.12% ( -2.15) | 50.88% ( 2.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.74% ( -1.5) | 85.26% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 18.25% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.29% Total : 49.82% | 0-0 @ 14.73% ( 1.06) 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.25% Total : 29.9% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
