SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Huracan |
41.6% ( 0.24) | 28.78% ( -0.09) | 29.61% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 44.25% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.99% ( 0.25) | 62.01% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.25% ( 0.18) | 81.74% ( -0.19) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( 0.26) | 29.39% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% ( 0.32) | 65.38% ( -0.32) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( 0.02) | 37.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% ( 0.02) | 74.12% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.5% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.61% |
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