SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Boca Juniors |
62.16% ( -2.34) | 22.04% ( 0.85) | 15.8% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( -0.71) | 50.14% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.89% ( -0.63) | 72.11% ( 0.64) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( -0.98) | 15.6% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.41% ( -1.86) | 44.58% ( 1.87) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.53% ( 1.65) | 44.47% ( -1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.49% ( 1.31) | 80.51% ( -1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.49)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.57)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.4)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.16% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.03% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.47% Total : 15.8% |
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