SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 43.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Union had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Union |
43.63% ( -0.57) | 29.55% ( 0.09) | 26.81% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 40.92% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.57% ( -0.07) | 65.42% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.81% ( -0.05) | 84.19% ( 0.05) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( -0.35) | 29.95% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% ( -0.42) | 66.06% ( 0.43) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( 0.38) | 41.59% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.92% ( 0.33) | 78.08% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.33% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.54% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 26.8% |
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