SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Union had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Union |
67.05% ( 0.07) | 19.59% ( -0.04) | 13.36% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( 0.09) | 44.72% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( 0.09) | 67.08% ( -0.09) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( 0.05) | 12.39% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.73% ( 0.1) | 38.27% ( -0.1) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.35% ( 0.01) | 44.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.35% ( 0.01) | 80.65% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Union |
| 2-0 @ 12.06% 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 67.05% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.59% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.28% Total : 13.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
