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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
Sep 11, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona

Arsenal
2 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Chimino (41'), Diaz (59' pen.)
Chimino (87'), Canto (90+5'), Medina (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gariglio (31' og.), Brizuela (87')
Garayalde (39'), Ortega (56'), Pratto (90+12')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Arsenal
Monday, September 5 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, September 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawVelez Sarsfield
31.6% (0.004999999999999 0) 28.87% (0.0010000000000012 0) 39.53% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 44.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.2% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)61.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.41% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)81.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28%35.71% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.49% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)30.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)66.7% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 31.59%
    Velez Sarsfield 39.53%
    Draw 28.86%
Arsenal SarandiDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.35%
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.86%
0-1 @ 12.93%
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61%
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 39.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Arsenal
Monday, September 5 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Huracan
Saturday, August 27 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Arsenal
Sunday, August 21 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 River Plate
Wednesday, August 17 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 1-1 Arsenal
Friday, August 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Tucuman
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, September 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Newell's OB
Saturday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-4 Flamengo
Thursday, September 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Sarmiento
Tuesday, August 23 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Aldosivi 3-2 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, August 18 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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