SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 35.87%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (12.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
35.87% ( 0.13) | 29.05% ( -0.01) | 35.08% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.72% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.99% ( 0.03) | 62.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.26% ( 0.02) | 81.75% ( -0.02) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( 0.1) | 32.87% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( 0.11) | 69.44% ( -0.11) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( -0.06) | 33.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( -0.07) | 70.01% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.07% |
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