SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beerschot Wilrijk | Draw | Genk |
34.39% ( -1.65) | 24.06% ( 0.25) | 41.54% ( 1.4) |
| Both teams to score 60.77% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( -1.52) | 41.58% ( 1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( -1.56) | 63.98% ( 1.56) |
| Beerschot Wilrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -1.59) | 23.81% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% ( -2.34) | 57.99% ( 2.34) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( -0.01) | 20.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.45% ( -0.01) | 52.55% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beerschot Wilrijk | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.39% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.52)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.97% Total : 41.54% |
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