SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%).
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Mechelen |
48.1% ( -1.79) | 24.35% ( 0.57) | 27.54% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.94% ( -1.63) | 46.06% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.64% ( -1.57) | 68.36% ( 1.57) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -1.34) | 19.23% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.06% ( -2.26) | 50.94% ( 2.27) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% ( 0.07) | 30.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.33% ( 0.08) | 66.67% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Mechelen |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.1% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.54% |
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