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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG
2 - 1
RFC Seraing

Adingra (17'), Vertessen (34')
Francois (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mouandilmadji (47')
Sissoko (24')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and RFC Seraing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Union SG
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brugge 2-0 RFC Seraing
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 87.78%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 3.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 4-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 0-1 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawRFC Seraing
87.78% (0.43000000000001 0.43) 8.67% (-0.2611 -0.26) 3.54% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 40.73% (-0.469 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.49% (0.363 0.36)27.51% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.87% (0.457 0.46)48.12% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.96% (0.122 0.12)4.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83% (0.40899999999999 0.41)16.99% (-0.417 -0.42)
RFC Seraing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.45% (-0.546 -0.55)57.55% (0.538 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.65% (-0.307 -0.31)89.35% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 87.77%
    RFC Seraing 3.54%
    Draw 8.67%
Union SGDrawRFC Seraing
3-0 @ 12.8% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 10.27% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-0 @ 6.6% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 5.68% (0.0029999999999992 0)
5-1 @ 3.64% (0.038 0.04)
6-0 @ 3.53% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.95% (0.039 0.04)
7-0 @ 1.62% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 87.77%
1-1 @ 4.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 2.32% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 1.83% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 8.67%
0-1 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 1.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 3.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Union SG
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Gent 1-1 Union SG
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, April 2 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Mechelen
Sunday, March 19 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 3-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Genk 1-2 Union SG
Sunday, March 12 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-0 RFC Seraing
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RFC Seraing 0-5 Gent
Saturday, April 1 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 2-1 RFC Seraing
Saturday, March 18 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RFC Seraing 0-2 Antwerp
Saturday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 3-1 RFC Seraing
Saturday, March 4 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RFC Seraing 0-2 Mechelen
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League


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