Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
-0.7) 
0.9) 
