While Santos have certainly not been great this season, they have looked solid on their home patch and have proven a difficult side to break down, maintaining three clean sheets in their five home matches.
Corinthians have the firepower in their ranks and should register at least a goal in this one, but we do not think that it will be enough to secure them their first away points of the campaign.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
-3.67) 
1.61) 
