Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.14) 
