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Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2022 at 10pm UK
Mineirão
C

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 2
Corinthians

Keno (9')
Fernandez (45'), Alonso (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Santos (80', 86' pen.)
Alberto (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Corinthians

With two of the league's strongest sides squaring off, we anticipate a high quality and hotly-contested affair and struggle to pick a winner, with a share of the spoils possible being the most likely outcome as both set up to avoid what would be a harmful defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 69.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.67%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCorinthians
69.63% (0.617 0.62) 19.81% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 10.56% (-0.56 -0.56)
Both teams to score 39.41% (-1.607 -1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (-1.138 -1.14)52.26% (1.137 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-0.99 -0.99)73.96% (0.988 0.99)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (-0.169 -0.17)13.93% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.61% (-0.333 -0.33)41.38% (0.332 0.33)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.78% (-1.774 -1.77)54.21% (1.773 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.59% (-1.115 -1.12)87.4% (1.114 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 69.62%
    Corinthians 10.56%
    Draw 19.81%
Atletico MineiroDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.88% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 14.67% (0.48 0.48)
3-0 @ 9.64% (0.257 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.75% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.095 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.87% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 69.62%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.335 0.34)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 19.81%
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.79% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 10.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Emelec
Tuesday, July 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 3-1 Coritiba
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Flamengo
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Corinthians (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro


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