Despite Flamengo bouncing back with victory in midweek, we can see Junior's side falling back to their losing ways at the hands of their rivals here.
The hosts have been in poor form of late, but much of their troubles have been on the road, whilst Flamengo will be hurting from the absences of Luiz and Henrique, and Mineiro will sense a chance of ending their winless streak against their rivals on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
2.29) 
-0.57) 
