Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Goias had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
-0.22) 
0.06) 
