Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
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