SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Goias had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Goias |
41.55% ( -0.17) | 26.11% ( 0.22) | 32.33% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( -0.93) | 51.31% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.82) | 73.14% ( 0.82) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( -0.5) | 24.43% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% ( -0.71) | 58.85% ( 0.71) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0.49) | 29.77% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( -0.6) | 65.84% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coritiba | Draw | Goias |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.54% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.33% |
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