Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Goias had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.22) 
