SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Goias had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Goias | Draw | Bragantino |
31.09% ( 0.37) | 27.29% ( -0) | 41.61% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.65% ( 0.12) | 56.34% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( 0.09) | 77.37% ( -0.1) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( 0.33) | 33.19% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.36) | 69.79% ( -0.37) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.15) | 26.68% ( 0.14) |
