Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.19) 
