SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 63.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Goias had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Goias |
63.4% ( -0) | 21.59% ( 0.07) | 15.01% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.4) | 49.75% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( -0.36) | 71.75% ( 0.36) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.93% ( -0.13) | 15.07% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.42% ( -0.25) | 43.58% ( 0.25) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.68% ( -0.34) | 45.31% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.81% ( -0.27) | 81.18% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fluminense | Draw | Goias |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 63.39% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 15.01% |
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