SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Goias | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
39.64% ( 1.59) | 27.02% ( 0.42) | 33.33% ( -2.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( -1.97) | 54.75% ( 1.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( -1.66) | 76.07% ( 1.66) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( -0.03) | 27.01% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( -0.05) | 62.37% ( 0.05) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -2.25) | 30.83% ( 2.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.9% ( -2.73) | 67.11% ( 2.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Goias | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.64% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.33% |
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