Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
1.59) 
-2.01) 
