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Copa do Brasil | Final | 2nd Leg
Nov 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Arena MRV
F

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Flamengo


Lyanco (37'), Rabello (45+3')
Saravia (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Plata (82')
Pulgar (39'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, November 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Flamengo (Flamengo wins 4-2 on aggregate)

The coaching change at Flamengo has worked out well, as this team are playing with more confidence and poise on the back end, which is why we expect they will maintain their advantage and be crowned champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFlamengo
34.74% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 27.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 37.98% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)76.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.51% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.025000000000006 0.03)28.35% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.031999999999996 0.03)64.09% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 34.73%
    Flamengo 37.97%
    Draw 27.28%
Atletico MineiroDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 37.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, November 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 3-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, November 3 at 7pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, October 30 at 12.45am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-3 Internacional
Saturday, October 26 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 River Plate
Wednesday, October 23 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, October 19 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, November 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 3-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, November 3 at 7pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Flamengo
Wednesday, October 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-2 Juventude
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Flamengo
Sunday, October 20 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 0-2 Fluminense
Friday, October 18 at 12am in Brasileiro


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