Despite a recent reshuffle in attack, Juventude have been lightweight up front this season, so have turned to a more defensive approach under new management. However, the attacking options available to Atletico are far superior, and they should post a third straight Serie A win without too much trouble.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
