Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 66.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 13.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
66.65% ( 0.1)	19.94% ( -0.05)	13.41% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 47.48% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.84% (

0.11)

46.16% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.55% (

0.11)

68.45% (

-0.11)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.06% (

0.06)

12.94% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.61% (

0.13)

39.4% (

-0.13)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.54%

45.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.7%

81.3% (

Score Analysis

Fluminense 66.64%

Athletico Paranaense 13.41%

Draw 19.94%

Fluminense	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 12.3% 1-0 @ 12.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 66.64%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.94%	0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.41%