Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
