Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
-0.6) 
0.04) 
