Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.01) 
